Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 8.078239 9.403692 10.830788 12.475979 14.314490 16.300015 18.600538
2025-03-30 6.345541 8.048473 10.003796 12.395890 15.223267 18.438273 22.348937
2025-04-06 5.279628 7.204430 9.536882 12.531818 16.232757 20.612399 26.139472
2025-04-13 4.495961 6.551973 9.165276 12.664290 17.154011 22.645927 29.787867
2025-04-20 3.983405 6.155634 9.035156 13.032283 18.327109 24.984719 33.858363
2025-04-27 3.532337 5.769981 8.855005 13.281487 19.315943 27.091692 37.682222
2025-05-04 3.081037 5.318040 8.523390 13.271702 19.923955 28.694873 40.882747
2025-05-11 2.546162 4.667878 7.837224 12.693840 19.694452 29.145721 42.550232
2025-05-18 2.195314 4.254090 7.447841 12.491890 19.947034 30.220863 45.050208
2025-05-25 1.876945 3.848752 7.026252 12.197031 20.028761 31.037893 47.198006
2025-06-01 1.633874 3.537375 6.717600 12.039399 20.283628 32.084179 49.671207
2025-06-08 1.395668 3.200482 6.331792 11.724459 20.271898 32.730943 51.582738
2025-06-15 1.250245 3.018218 6.189535 11.789277 20.841220 34.241404 54.778274
2025-06-22 1.104965 2.814991 5.989933 11.740764 21.223149 35.479345 57.607319
2025-06-29 1.004255 2.687233 5.910626 11.883097 21.904370 37.175561 61.141471
2025-07-06 0.913259 2.566403 5.831197 12.015343 22.567849 38.857593 64.691090
2025-07-13 0.858424 2.517055 5.880032 12.370582 23.603794 41.132440 69.173664
2025-07-20 0.795374 2.439606 5.866675 12.610674 24.453704 43.138882 73.296075
2025-07-27 0.712697 2.302651 5.722620 12.601717 24.880171 44.490987 76.453148
2025-08-03 0.589051 2.041829 5.300787 12.047511 24.347143 44.304409 77.241405
2025-08-10 0.512174 1.886227 5.080374 11.853889 24.419997 45.075022 79.513044
2025-08-17 0.438012 1.722589 4.824525 11.571158 24.317257 45.550067 81.324487
2025-08-24 0.382064 1.598857 4.643104 11.420029 24.436955 46.384059 83.711482